OK ,these number do not make sense to me. The liberals are down We going to try to force a election? I know that the present government is evil But if you are going to win,. Why go to an election?


Election speculation fuels Tories: Nanos Poll (Completed September 2nd)


Nik on the Numbers

The latest Nanos poll shows, with election speculation on the rise, a noticeable increase in support for the Harper Conservatives while Liberal support has remained relatively stable.

The Conservatives have picked up support in Quebec and Atlantic Canada while the New Democrats have lost support in those regions.

Also of note, the level of undecided is above average in this wave of Nanos tracking. This is likely a natural result of the country entering a pre-election phase as an increasing number of Canadians park with the undecided before they render judgment on the parties and the party leaders.

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Methodology
Nanos conducted a random telephone survey of 1,003 Canadians, 18 years of age and older, between August 28th and September 2nd. A survey of 1,003 Canadians is accurate to within 3.1 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20, for 756 committed voters, it is accurate to within 3.6 percentage points, plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. Margins may be larger for smaller samples.



Ballot Question: For those parties you would consider voting for federally, could you please rank your top two current local preferences? (Committed voters only - First Preference)

The numbers in parenthesis denote the change from the last Nanos Omnibus Survey completed between July 30th and August 2nd, 2009.

National (n=756)
Conservative 37.5% (+6.2)
Liberal 33.4% (-0.4)
NDP 14.8% (-3.9)
BQ 9.7% (+0.5)
Green 4.6% (-2.4)
Undecided 24.6% (+8.9)


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